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Angelique Kerber vs Jelena Ostapenko Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Kerber vs Ostapenko analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Angelique Kerber vs Jelena Ostapenko Important H2H Prediction Stats:

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Kerber has won 44.35% of points on his second serve, while Ostapenko has won 44.35%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Kerber, in recent form, has won 58.48% of his opponent's second serve points, while Ostapenko has won 58.57%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.46% and 36.92% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Kerber has saved 58.19% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ostapenko has saved 56.65% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Kerber has won 41.18% of matches played (W/L 7/ 10), with Ostapenko winning 66.67% (W/L 44/ 22) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Kerber has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 73% (W/L 87/ 32), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 56% (W/L 119/ 92). Ostapenko has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 70% (W/L 48/ 21), and worse career win % on Hard, winning 56% (W/L 136/ 107).
  • Player level: In the last year, Kerber has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 66.67% of matches (W/L 6/ 3), where as Ostapenko has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 55.56% of matches (W/L 15/ 12). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Kerber winning 3 times. They have played 11 sets in total, with Kerber winning 7 and Ostapenko winning 4. The last match between Kerber and Ostapenko was at the BNP Paribas Open - Indian Wells, 08-03-2024, Second, Hard with Angelique Kerber getting the victory 5-7 6-3 6-3.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:52:13.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Kerber and Ostapenko have played a deciding set 3 times, with Kerber winning 2 times and Ostapenko 1 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 0 tiebreaks against each other with Kerber winning 0, and Ostapenko 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Kerber has played against opponents with an average rank of 45.82 while Ostapenko has played against players with an average rank of 115.56.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Kerber has won 50% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ostapenko has won 72% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Kerber has converted 44.12% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ostapenko has converted 44.93% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
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Head-to-head: Kerber 3 - 1 Ostapenko

Angelique Kerber

25

Total

0

Mast

11

Chall

3

Slam

11

Main

0

Minor

331

Rank

1

High

36

Age

L

Plays

3

Total

1

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

10

Rank

5

High

26

Age

R

Plays

Jelena Ostapenko

15

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

1

Slam

7

Main

6

Minor

3

Total

1

2

Hard

0

0

Clay

1

0

Indoor

0

1

Grass

0

W W W L L L W W W L

Form

L W L W W L W W W L

64% (656-370)

Career Total W/L

63% (384-230)

41% (7-10)

YTD W/L

71% (24-10)

$23,496,580

Career Prize Money

$10,318,952

0

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Kerber VS Ostapenko H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Angelique Kerber Jelena Ostapenko
All H2H Matches 3 1
Sets Won 7 4
Games Won 59 48
Aces (Total) 11 20
DFs (Total) 22 28
Avg Match Time 1:52:13 1:52:13
1st Serve % 65% (240/368) 56% (217/386)
1st Serve Win% 59% (142/240) 62% (135/217)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (68/128) 37% (63/169)
BPs Won% (Total) 43% (23/54) 41% (17/41)
Return Points W% 49% (188/386) 43% (158/368)
Best of 3 Sets W% 75% (3/4) 25% (1/4)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Deciding Set Win% 67% (2/3) 33% (1/3)
1st set W, W 50% (2/1) 0% (2/0)
1st set W, L 50% (2/1) 100% (2/2)
1st set L, W 100% (2/2) 50% (2/1)

Kerber VS Ostapenko H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
5-7 6-3 6-3
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
58% ( 62 of 106)
1st Serve %
54% ( 62 of 114)
3
Aces
9
8
Double Faults
12
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
50% ( 22 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 14 of 52)
40% ( 8 of 20)
Break Points Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
45% ( 48 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 60 of 114)
118
Total Points Won
102
4-6 6-2 7-5
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
65% ( 65 of 100)
1st Serve %
57% ( 52 of 91)
4
Aces
5
1
Double Faults
9
62% ( 40 of 65)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 33 of 52)
60% ( 21 of 35)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 15 of 39)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
39% ( 39 of 100)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 43 of 91)
104
Total Points Won
87
4-6 6-3 6-4
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Angelique Kerber
57% ( 68 of 119)
1st Serve %
65% ( 64 of 98)
3
Aces
1
4
Double Faults
13
60% ( 41 of 68)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 36 of 64)
45% ( 23 of 51)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 14 of 34)
55% ( 6 of 11)
Break Points Won
31% ( 5 of 16)
46% ( 55 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 48 of 98)
112
Total Points Won
105
6-3 6-3
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
77% ( 49 of 64)
1st Serve %
56% ( 35 of 62)
3
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
61% ( 30 of 49)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 21 of 35)
73% ( 11 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
57% ( 4 of 7)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
36% ( 23 of 64)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 30 of 62)
71
Total Points Won
55

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Angelique Kerber Jelena Ostapenko
YTD W/L 41% (7/10) 71% (24/10)
Sets Win/Loss 42% (16/22) 63% (50/30)
Games Win/Loss 46% (156/182) 54% (406/348)
Hard Win/Loss 36% (4/7) 68% (13/6)
Clay Win/Loss 60% (3/2) 64% (7/4)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/1) 100% (4/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.09 0.32
Aces Total 14 118
DFs per game 0.31 0.39
DFs Total 51 144
Avg Match Time 1:32:3 1:31:19
Avg Opp Rank 45.82 136.24
1st Serve % 69% (820/1183) 59% (1312/2232)
1st Serve W% 57% (464/820) 68% (889/1312)
2nd Serve W% 44% (161/363) 44% (408/920)
BPs Won% Total 44% (60/136) 45% (124/276)
Return Pts W% 44% (502/1131) 45% (1007/2245)
Slam W/L 0% (0/1) 67% (2/1)
Masters W/L 67% (6/3) 60% (9/6)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 67% (2/1)
Main Tour W/L 14% (1/6) 85% (11/2)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 41% (7/17) 71% (24/34)
Best of 5 Sets W% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (2/2) 86% (6/7)
Deciding Set W% 50% (2/4) 83% (10/12)
1st set W, W 83% (6/5) 95% (20/19)
1st set W, L 17% (6/1) 5% (20/1)
1st set L, W 18% (11/2) 36% (14/5)

Angelique Kerber Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
R4
cross
Iga Swiatek
Player
Angelique Kerber
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
62% ( 43 of 69)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
6
67% ( 30 of 45)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
71% ( 12 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
42% ( 11 of 26)
31% ( 4 of 13)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
32% ( 20 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
46% ( 32 of 69)
74
Total Points Won
57
L
7-5 6-3 H2H
R3
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
74% ( 51 of 69)
1
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
8
57% ( 27 of 47)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 28 of 51)
50% ( 10 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
67% ( 4 of 6)
45% ( 30 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 35 of 69)
72
Total Points Won
64
W
6-3 7-6(4) H2H
R2
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
73% ( 37 of 51)
1st Serve %
51% ( 18 of 35)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
1
68% ( 25 of 37)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
71% ( 10 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
31% ( 16 of 51)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 20 of 35)
55
Total Points Won
31
W
6-3 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Lauren Davis
70% ( 32 of 46)
1st Serve %
60% ( 28 of 47)
0
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
8
75% ( 24 of 32)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 11 of 28)
57% ( 8 of 14)
2nd Serve Won
37% ( 7 of 19)
56% ( 5 of 9)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
30% ( 14 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 29 of 47)
61
Total Points Won
32
W
6-1 6-0 H2H
R1
cross
Emma Raducanu
Player
Angelique Kerber
61% ( 40 of 66)
1st Serve %
59% ( 38 of 64)
4
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
8
65% ( 26 of 40)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
42% ( 11 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
15% ( 4 of 26)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
18% ( 2 of 11)
44% ( 29 of 66)
Rtn Points Won
61% ( 39 of 64)
76
Total Points Won
54
L
6-2 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Sloane Stephens
Player
Angelique Kerber
73% ( 43 of 59)
1st Serve %
73% ( 43 of 59)
0
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
3
70% ( 30 of 43)
1st Serve Won
58% ( 25 of 43)
50% ( 8 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
25% ( 4 of 16)
50% ( 4 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
36% ( 21 of 59)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
68
Total Points Won
50
L
6-2 6-3 H2H
R4
cross
Caroline Wozniacki
Player
Angelique Kerber
63% ( 35 of 56)
1st Serve %
76% ( 53 of 70)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
3
69% ( 24 of 35)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 24 of 53)
57% ( 12 of 21)
2nd Serve Won
59% ( 10 of 17)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
36% ( 20 of 56)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 36 of 70)
72
Total Points Won
54
L
6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Veronika Kudermetova
69% ( 57 of 83)
1st Serve %
62% ( 38 of 61)
1
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
0
60% ( 34 of 57)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 21 of 38)
46% ( 12 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 8 of 23)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
36% ( 4 of 11)
45% ( 37 of 83)
Rtn Points Won
52% ( 32 of 61)
78
Total Points Won
66
W
6-4 7-5 H2H
R2
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
58% ( 62 of 106)
1st Serve %
54% ( 62 of 114)
3
Aces
9
8
Double Faults
12
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
50% ( 22 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
27% ( 14 of 52)
40% ( 8 of 20)
Break Points Won
43% ( 6 of 14)
45% ( 48 of 106)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 60 of 114)
118
Total Points Won
102
W
5-7 6-3 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Angelique Kerber
Player
Petra Martic
73% ( 45 of 62)
1st Serve %
54% ( 39 of 72)
1
Aces
3
5
Double Faults
5
69% ( 31 of 45)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 24 of 39)
47% ( 8 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 13 of 33)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
37% ( 23 of 62)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 35 of 72)
74
Total Points Won
60
W
6-3 6-4 H2H

Jelena Ostapenko Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
QF
cross
Aryna Sabalenka
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
76% ( 37 of 49)
1st Serve %
73% ( 46 of 63)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
4
81% ( 30 of 37)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 31 of 46)
50% ( 6 of 12)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
43% ( 3 of 7)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 0)
27% ( 13 of 49)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 26 of 63)
62
Total Points Won
50
L
6-2 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Rebecca Sramkova
57% ( 62 of 108)
1st Serve %
71% ( 82 of 116)
7
Aces
4
6
Double Faults
6
58% ( 36 of 62)
1st Serve Won
52% ( 43 of 82)
48% ( 22 of 46)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 18 of 34)
50% ( 6 of 12)
Break Points Won
40% ( 6 of 15)
46% ( 50 of 108)
Rtn Points Won
47% ( 55 of 116)
113
Total Points Won
111
W
4-6 6-4 7-6(3) H2H
R3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Sara Sorribes Tormo
58% ( 60 of 104)
1st Serve %
72% ( 69 of 96)
1
Aces
0
6
Double Faults
4
53% ( 32 of 60)
1st Serve Won
45% ( 31 of 69)
45% ( 20 of 44)
2nd Serve Won
41% ( 11 of 27)
50% ( 9 of 18)
Break Points Won
50% ( 7 of 14)
50% ( 52 of 104)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 54 of 96)
106
Total Points Won
94
W
6-4 5-7 6-1 H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Anastasia Potapova
51% ( 39 of 76)
1st Serve %
50% ( 30 of 60)
0
Aces
3
2
Double Faults
4
64% ( 25 of 39)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 15 of 30)
43% ( 16 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 13 of 30)
60% ( 6 of 10)
Break Points Won
33% ( 3 of 9)
46% ( 35 of 76)
Rtn Points Won
53% ( 32 of 60)
73
Total Points Won
63
W
6-4 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Ons Jabeur
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
52% ( 26 of 50)
1st Serve %
56% ( 28 of 50)
2
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
5
77% ( 20 of 26)
1st Serve Won
64% ( 18 of 28)
50% ( 12 of 24)
2nd Serve Won
18% ( 4 of 22)
83% ( 5 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
36% ( 18 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
56% ( 28 of 50)
60
Total Points Won
40
L
6-0 6-4 H2H
R3
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Maria Lourdes Carle
63% ( 34 of 54)
1st Serve %
77% ( 56 of 73)
1
Aces
1
5
Double Faults
4
56% ( 19 of 34)
1st Serve Won
48% ( 27 of 56)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
24% ( 4 of 17)
50% ( 7 of 14)
Break Points Won
44% ( 4 of 9)
48% ( 26 of 54)
Rtn Points Won
58% ( 42 of 73)
70
Total Points Won
57
W
6-3 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Jelena Ostapenko
Player
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve %
68% ( 38 of 56)
2
Aces
1
3
Double Faults
2
71% ( 24 of 34)
1st Serve Won
39% ( 15 of 38)
31% ( 5 of 16)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 9 of 18)
86% ( 6 of 7)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
42% ( 21 of 50)
Rtn Points Won
57% ( 32 of 56)
61
Total Points Won
45
W
6-3 6-1 H2H
R1
cross
Linda Noskova
Player
Jelena Ostapenko
60% ( 43 of 72)
1st Serve %
63% ( 24 of 38)
8
Aces
1
8
Double Faults
2
72% ( 31 of 43)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 12 of 24)
38% ( 11 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
7% ( 1 of 14)
100% ( 5 of 5)
Break Points Won
11% ( 1 of 9)
42% ( 30 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
66% ( 25 of 38)
67
Total Points Won
43
L
6-3 6-1 H2H
Rubber 2
W
2-6 7-5 6-3 H2H
Rubber 2
L
7-6(7) 6-4 H2H

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